Game of Thrones Death Pool: Who’s Gonna Bite It Tonight?
Happy Game of Thrones day everyone! So, now that we're doing weekly narrative recaps of the HBO fantasy show, we're going to be running our death pool odds before each new episode, instead of immediately following each episode as it airs. The idea is the same: Figuring out where a gambling man or gambling woman would put the smart money if they wanted to get rich the next time someone gets offed on Game of Thrones. Below are the odds for a few of the most (and least) likely characters to croak during tonight's episode.
Daenerys Targaryen
If last week’s burning-down-the-house proved anything it’s that Dany, like Janet Jackson, is unbreakable. Like, she conquered the Dothraki in, what, a few days? A week, maybe? And all she had to do was knock over a few bowls of fire. The whole “I’m unburnt, watch me torch this khal meeting” thing is cute, but the Dothraki plunder for a living and when they saw her walk out of those flames they still straight-up genuflected. As Laura Hudson pointed out in her recap last week, she is a destroyer, never the destroyed.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 33/1
Chance of death: 2.94%
MACALL B. POLAY/HBOBrienne of Tarth
Now that she has found Sansa and reunited her with at least one of her siblings (Jon Snow) at Castle Black, Brienne seems safe—surrounded by the Night’s Watch and Wildlings, with no potential betrayers in sight. That said, Sansa has been talking a big game about taking back Winterfell, and we all know Brienne would die protecting her, so she’s not out of the woods yet.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 20/1
Chance of death: 4.76%
HELEN SLOAN/HBO
Bran Stark
Last week was as Bran-free as a loaf of white bread, it’s impossible to know if he’s better or worse off than he was when we saw him wargin’ it up at the Tower of Joy. He did, however, encounter the Night King in the promo for this week’s episode (👉🏽), so things might be getting a bit precarious. Then again, he’s a Stark, and one of the linchpins of this show, so the ice doesn’t seem that thin.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 22/1
Chance of death: 4.35%
HBOPetyr "Littlefinger" Baelish
Petyr Baelish has been spending much of this season doing very little(finger). Last week, though, he asked disgusting pre-teen Lord Robin Arryn to send the Vale army to protect Sansa. Based on pictures from tonight’s episode, he’ll be reunited with Sansa herself this week. If Team Stark/Snow is indeed looking for a fight in Winterfell, and Baelish goes with them, he’ll be in more of a bind than usual—but he’s probably too smart for that.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 16/1
Chance of death: 5.88%
HELEN SLOAN/HBO
Sansa Stark
Considering she’s with her half-brother, her sworn liege, and everyone else at Castle Black who would die to save her, Sansa is a damn sight safer than she was when she was with supersadist Ramsay Bolton. But again, she seems to be looking to return home to Winterfell even if she has to fight to take it. She should be fine, but this is the show that beheaded her dad and then showed her his head on a spike, so…
Death Pool Odds This Week: 22/1
Chance of death: 4.35%
HELEN SLOAN/HBOJon Snow
This dude already died once—it’s unimaginable that Game of Thrones would kill him again. Then again, Game of Thrones.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 25/1
Chance of death: 3.85%
HELEN SLOAN
Ramsay Bolton
It may not be this week; it may not be next week. But this dude is going to have to die, preferably in a cruel and unusual fashion. He’s trying to be the Warden of the North, where people kind of hate him, and he’s got Sansa and Jon Snow looking to take him down, so chances are this comeuppance is coming up. Thank the gods.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 6/1
Chance of death: 14.29%
HELEN SLOAN/HBOArya Stark
Arya knows how to fight blind. She is also no longer blind. So she might be a completely unstoppable assassin now. She is also back in the good graces of Jaqen H’ghar and (most) of the House of Black and White. Like the rest of the Starks, the odds are very much in her favor right now. Go get ’em, Girl.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 33/1
Chance of death: 2.94%
HELEN SLOAN/HBO
Tyrion Lannister
Tyrion isn’t making any friends amongst the Grey Worms and Missandeis of the world with his new “the slavers can keep operating for seven years” thing. But he’s also not pissing off the kind of people who will outright kill him, either. And, in a pinch, he always has his new dragon friends.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 40/1
Chance of death: 2.44%
MACALL B. POLAY/HBOYara Greyjoy
Yara Greyjoy would like the Salt Throne. Her father, before he died, even said she should be his heir. Her recently-returned brother, Theon Greyjoy (fka “Reek”), even thinks she should have that throne. The Kingsmoot might not really be so down for that. Will she fight for it? Will she get it? Or die trying?
Death Pool Odds This Week: 14/1
Chance of death: 6.67%
MACALL B. POLAY/HBO
Rickon Stark
So, Ramsay promised to do some pretty disgusting things to Rickon in that letter he wrote to Jon Snow. Whether or not he’ll be able to carry them out depends entirely on how good Jon and Sansa are at getting to their brother before Ramsay can do his worst.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 12/1
Chance of death: 7.69%
HBOCersei Lannister
Look, Cersei is probably going to be fine. She’s gotten this far. She’s even (sort of) got Lady Olenna Tyrell on her side, so she’s in an even better position. Sure, the Faith Militant think she’s the worst (and the rest of King’s Landing may not love her), but still, things can be (and have been) much worse for her and she made it out alive. There’s no reason to think that trend won’t continue.
Death Pool Odds This Week: 20/1
Chance of death: 4.76%
HELEN SLOAN/HBO
Hodor
Hodor
Death Pool Odds This Week: 4/1
Chance of death: 20%
HBO