Shorting The God Phone: A Skeptic's Cheatsheet For IPhone Predictions

Ah yes, it’s never too early to call BS on the next big gadget hooha. This just in from Bloomberg: The iPhone might not be a hit. The financial source saddles analyst Andy Hargreaves with the ugly task of bursting our bubble: “‘There’s definitely a lot of buzz… If they only sell 100,000, that would […]

Iphhyp
Ah yes, it’s never too early to call BS on the next big gadget hooha. This just in from Bloomberg: The iPhone might not be a hit. The financial source saddles analyst Andy Hargreaves with the ugly task of bursting our bubble: “‘There's definitely a lot of buzz… If they only sell 100,000, that would be bad’ and the stock will fall. Hargreaves is one of two analysts predicting two-day sales of 200,000.”

Bloomberg also offers up a handy iPhone predictatron featuring the forecasts of several leading analysts. For the fiscal year ending September 2007, the iPhone sales predictions stack up thusly…

American Technology Research 250,000
Bear Stearns & Co. 650,000
Credit Suisse 1.7 million
Pacific Crest Securities 800,000
Piper Jaffray & Co. 1.2 million
UBS AG 950,000

Photo: josiahq